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Black Swan

14,76 
Bežná cena
 
16,40 
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10% (1,64 )
Nedostupné
Budeme vás informovať, hneď ako bude kniha dostupná
Rok vydania
2008
Jazyk
Anglický
Počet strán
444
Väzba
Brožovaná
Rozmery
129 x 197 x 28 mm
Hmotnosť
0,35 kg
ISBN
978-0-141-03459-1
EAN kód
9780141034591
Číslo produktu
340946
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.

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17,98 
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